Nate Silver on Baseball and Politics: The Numbers Don’t Lie
Karla Scherer Endowed Lecture Series for the University of Chicago
As an undergraduate, Nate Silver studied economics, but baseball was his first and enduring love. He soon earned a reputation as a formidable baseball statistical analyst. A disciple of Bill James, Silver’s remarkable PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) system for predicting player performance, career development, and seasonal winners and losers has changed the way baseball-insiders and fans alike think about the game. In 2007 and 2008, Silver applied his statistical models to the presidential election and impressed the world of political polling with his uncannily accurate election forecasts. Silver continues to follow political races around the country in his FiveThirtyEight column for the New York Times. In this program, CHF asks Silver to share his insights and oversights about America’s greatest game. He might just talk about the election, too.
This program is presented as part of the annual Karla Scherer Endowed Lecture Series for the University of Chicago.
Speakers and Performers
Nate Silver gained his reputation as a baseball statistical analyst, where his mathematical models have been accurately forecasting baseball outcomes for years. In 2008 he turned his analytic eye to the political arena, with great success. Silver has been a contributor to ESPN.com, Sports Illustrated, Slate, the New York Sun, and the New York Times, where his column FiveThirtyEight regularly appears.